<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[SolidMan's Substack]]></title><description><![CDATA[My personal Substack]]></description><link>https://solidman.co</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vaar!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ef4344c-cb6e-46ac-9e84-900370804f17_1024x1024.jpeg</url><title>SolidMan&apos;s Substack</title><link>https://solidman.co</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Mon, 21 Sep 2026 03:11:28 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://solidman.co/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[SolidMan Capital]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[solidmancapital@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[solidmancapital@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[SolidMan Capital]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[SolidMan Capital]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[solidmancapital@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[solidmancapital@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[SolidMan Capital]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[The Typical Value Investor's Boring Stock: Use other people's money to work for me.]]></title><description><![CDATA[No crazy AI hype, no 50% revenue growth. Just a 4x leverage float, profitable core business & a shrinking share count.]]></description><link>https://solidman.co/p/the-typical-value-investors-boring</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://solidman.co/p/the-typical-value-investors-boring</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[SolidMan Capital]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 13 Sep 2026 04:47:19 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vaar!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ef4344c-cb6e-46ac-9e84-900370804f17_1024x1024.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span>This is the 3</span><sup><span>rd</span></sup><span> stock in my portfolio (after FMC &amp; SK Hynix)</span></p><p><span>Let&#8217;s be completely upfront.</span></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://solidman.co/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">SolidMan's Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p><strong><span>Everest Group (NYSE: EG)</span></strong><span> is the textbook definition of a boring stock. It&#8217;s a classic insurance and reinsurance giant. There is no high-tech AI narrative, no 50% revenue growth, and zero chance of it doubling overnight.</span></p><p><span>If you&#8217;re looking for fast excitement, skip this post.</span></p><p><span>But if you want to know how a conservative value investor makes steady, stupidly reliable money, it comes down to one core concept: </span><strong><span>Using other people&#8217;s money to work for me.</span></strong></p><p><span>Here are the </span><strong><span>3 exact reasons why Everest Group is a money-making machine for its shareholders at today&#8217;s price.</span></strong></p><p><span>Here is the straightforward accounting logic of why the math stacked in our favor is almost unfair:</span></p><p><strong><span>1. The Magic of Float: Turning a 4.5% Yield into an 18% Return on Equity</span></strong></p><p><span>Insurance is the ultimate financial model because you collect premiums today and pay out claims years later. That pool of free cash sitting in the middle is called the </span><strong><span>Float</span></strong><span>.</span></p><p><span>Here is the simple balance sheet arithmetic:</span></p><ul><li><p><span>For every </span><strong><span>$1</span></strong><span> of equity owned by shareholders, Everest controls roughly </span><strong><span>$4</span></strong><span> of float.</span></p></li><li><p><span>With interest rates staying higher for longer, Everest invests that $4 into safe fixed-income assets earning around </span><strong><span>4.5%</span></strong><span>.</span></p></li><li><p><strong><span>The Math:</span></strong></p></li></ul><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hBc6!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3850cb2-01b5-4987-ba57-8cfc06644881_99x27.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hBc6!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3850cb2-01b5-4987-ba57-8cfc06644881_99x27.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hBc6!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3850cb2-01b5-4987-ba57-8cfc06644881_99x27.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hBc6!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3850cb2-01b5-4987-ba57-8cfc06644881_99x27.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hBc6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3850cb2-01b5-4987-ba57-8cfc06644881_99x27.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hBc6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3850cb2-01b5-4987-ba57-8cfc06644881_99x27.png" width="99" height="27" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a3850cb2-01b5-4987-ba57-8cfc06644881_99x27.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:27,&quot;width&quot;:99,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hBc6!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3850cb2-01b5-4987-ba57-8cfc06644881_99x27.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hBc6!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3850cb2-01b5-4987-ba57-8cfc06644881_99x27.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hBc6!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3850cb2-01b5-4987-ba57-8cfc06644881_99x27.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hBc6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa3850cb2-01b5-4987-ba57-8cfc06644881_99x27.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><ul><li><p><strong><span>18% return on your original $1 of equity!</span></strong></p></li></ul><p><span>They are literally using low-cost leverage from other people&#8217;s cash to generate an 18% ROE engine before even counting their main insurance profit.</span></p><p><strong><span>2. Core Underwriting is Back on Track (The Combined Ratio Secret)</span></strong></p><p><span>Of course, float leverage only works if the core insurance business isn&#8217;t bleeding money.</span></p><p><span>In insurance, we track a key metric called the </span><strong><span>Combined Ratio</span></strong><span>:</span></p><ul><li><p><em><span>In plain English:</span></em><span> It measures how much money the company pays out in claims and expenses for every dollar of premium collected. A ratio over 100% means they are losing money on underwriting.</span></p></li><li><p><span>EG&#8217;s Combined Ratio has improved back to the </span><strong><span>low 90s%</span></strong><span>.</span></p></li></ul><p><span>That means for every $100 in premium they take in, they keep roughly $8 to $9 as pure underwriting profit </span><em><span>before</span></em><span> earning a single dime on their investment portfolio. The core business is profitable, healthy, and cash-generative again.</span></p><p><strong><span>3. Buying Back $1 of Assets for 90 Cents</span></strong></p><p><span>Because Wall Street considers insurance &#8220;boring&#8221; and gets skittish over short-term storm headlines, the stock currently trades </span><strong><span>below its actual Net Asset Value (Book Value)</span></strong><span>.</span></p><p><span>Management isn&#8217;t sitting idle&#8212;they are aggressively buying back their own shares.</span></p><ul><li><p><span>Every single time EG repurchases shares below book value, they are </span><strong><span>buying $1.00 worth of net hard assets for 90 cents</span></strong><span>.</span></p></li><li><p><span>This shrinking share count automatically boosts the intrinsic value and earnings power of every remaining share we hold.</span></p></li></ul><p><span>Wall Street analysts often ignore stocks like this because they can&#8217;t sell a fancy futuristic story to retail investors. There are no flashy press releases or speculative hype cycles.</span></p><p><strong><span>But this &#8220;boring&#8221; reality is our ultimate moat.</span></strong></p><p><span>While the market runs around chasing overvalued high-beta stocks, Everest Group quietly collects premiums, invests billions of float at high yields, and devours its own discounted shares month after month.</span></p><p><span>It&#8217;s the financial equivalent of a quiet snowball rolling down a long, icy hill. You don&#8217;t need magic; you just need compound interest and patience.</span></p><p><span>I don&#8217;t invest to get an adrenaline rush. I invest so I can sleep like a baby every single night.</span></p><p><span>Everest Group won&#8217;t make you the center of attention at a party, and it won&#8217;t give you bragging rights on social media. But it gives you real assets, real cash flow, a high margin of safety, and a management team that knows how to allocate capital.</span></p><p><span>It&#8217;s boring. It&#8217;s quiet. But it makes money, and most importantly, it lets me sleep in peace.</span></p><p><strong><span>Disclosure:</span></strong><span> </span><em><span>I hold a long position in Everest Group (NYSE: EG) at the time of writing. As a value investor, I run a concentrated portfolio and put my own money where my analysis leads. However, I may buy, sell, or adjust my holdings at any time without prior notice.</span></em></p><p><strong><span>Disclaimer:</span></strong><span> </span><em><span>This article represents my personal investment journal and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is </span><strong><span>NOT</span></strong><span> financial or investment advice. I am a professional accountant sharing my own research, not your financial advisor. Always do your own homework before investing.</span></em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://solidman.co/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">SolidMan's Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[A Value Investor's Answer to the AI Craze: SK Hynix]]></title><description><![CDATA[Value investing isn't about buying boring old companies. It&#8217;s about paying the right price&#8212;even for the biggest technological shift of our generation.]]></description><link>https://solidman.co/p/a-value-investors-answer-to-the-ai</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://solidman.co/p/a-value-investors-answer-to-the-ai</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[SolidMan Capital]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 07 Sep 2026 01:29:24 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vaar!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ef4344c-cb6e-46ac-9e84-900370804f17_1024x1024.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Let&#8217;s clear up a huge misconception first.</p><p>People always assume value investors only buy cheap, boring, traditional sector stocks&#8212;like brick-and-mortar stores or old industrial plays. <strong>That&#8217;s not true of me.</strong></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://solidman.co/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">SolidMan's Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>I look at tech stocks all the time. My rule as an accountant is simple: <strong>Every single stock, regardless of its industry, has a price where it makes total sense to buy.</strong> Tech is no different.</p><p>I&#8217;m not blind. I know AI isn&#8217;t just hype&#8212;it&#8217;s a massive wave on par with the Industrial Revolution, and I certainly don&#8217;t want to miss out on it. But with the AI craze pushing most US tech stock prices straight to the moon, finding a real bargain feels almost impossible.</p><p>I dug deep until I found one that actually fits my strict valuation standards: <strong>SK Hynix (listed in South Korea as 000660.KS, NASDAQ ADR Ticker SKHY)</strong>.</p><p><strong>Why buy the primary Korean listing instead of US ADRs?</strong> Simple math: The underlying business is identical, the dividend is identical, and the liquidity on the Korean exchange is sky-high. <strong>If I can buy the exact same company at a massive discount, why on earth would I pay a premium just because it&#8217;s wrapped in a US ticker?</strong></p><p><em>(The US ADR is an alternative only as a last resort for those who physically can&#8217;t access foreign markets&#8212;and even then, it&#8217;s still considerably cheaper than almost any other AI stock out there).</em></p><p>Here is how I am riding the AI train without overpaying for a ticket.</p><p>To get why SK Hynix is a rare bargain in today&#8217;s tech world, you don&#8217;t need a computer science degree. You just need to understand one physical bottleneck in AI servers.</p><p><strong>1. What the heck is HBM, and why do AI chips need it?</strong></p><p>An Nvidia GPU is like a Bugatti engine. But if you try to feed fuel to that massive engine through a tiny thin drinking straw, the car goes nowhere.</p><p>That &#8220;drinking straw&#8221; problem in AI servers is solved by <strong>HBM (High Bandwidth Memory)</strong>. It&#8217;s basically memory chips stacked vertically like a skyscraper. Without HBM, an Nvidia GPU is literally useless.</p><p>And guess who is the undisputed king of HBM right now? <strong>SK Hynix.</strong></p><p>They mastered the manufacturing trick (MR-MUF technology) way before Samsung or Micron. Because of that, they locked up the lion&#8217;s share of HBM supply for Nvidia&#8217;s flagship GPUs.</p><p><strong>2. Why this isn&#8217;t your grandfather&#8217;s memory stock</strong></p><p>Historically, memory makers were treated like cheap commodity sellers with wild price swings. But HBM changes the underlying accounting:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Custom-made, fat profit margins:</strong> HBM isn&#8217;t something you buy off a shelf. It&#8217;s custom-designed, locked in with long-term contracts, and sells at high profit margins.</p></li><li><p><strong>Sucking up factory capacity:</strong> Making HBM takes 3 times more factory capacity than regular RAM. This eats up global memory supply, forcing prices of regular computer memory up across the board!</p></li></ul><p><strong>3. Balance sheet cleanup</strong></p><p>Did they carry heavy debt during the last memory slump? Yep. But now? HBM is printing cash for them. They are generating massive cash flow and using it to wipe out debt fast&#8212;meaning zero risk of shareholder dilution.</p><p>Think about it this way.</p><p>During a gold rush, hundreds of thousands of people rush into the mountains trying to hit the jackpot. Most of them go home completely broke. But you know who gets rich every single time? <strong>The guy selling the shovels and picks to the miners.</strong></p><p>Right now, tech giants (Microsoft, Meta, Google, Amazon) are spending hundreds of billions in a crazy AI arms race.</p><p>I don&#8217;t care which tech giant wins the AI war. <strong>Because no matter who wins, EVERY SINGLE ONE OF THEM has to buy tons of HBM memory from SK Hynix.</strong></p><p>Because it&#8217;s primarily listed in South Korea, Wall Street constantly ignores it due to the &#8220;Korea Discount.&#8221; While tourists are paying top dollar for overhyped US AI names, SK Hynix is sitting right there at a price that gives us a true margin of safety.</p><p>I don&#8217;t hate tech stocks, and I don&#8217;t hate growth. I just hate overpaying for a dream that might collapse when market sentiment shifts tomorrow.</p><p>Buying SK Hynix isn&#8217;t gambling on a promise. It&#8217;s owning a real, cash-generating industrial monster that controls the biggest hardware bottleneck on the planet&#8212;and buying it at a valuation where I can sleep peacefully at night.</p><p>That&#8217;s how I participate in the AI revolution: with my eyes wide open, my valuation intact, and my margin of safety firmly locked in.</p><p><strong>Disclosure:</strong> <em>I hold a long position in SK Hynix (000660.KS) at the time of writing. As a value investor, I run a concentrated portfolio and put my own money where my analysis leads. However, I may buy, sell, or adjust my holdings at any time without prior notice.</em></p><p><strong>Disclaimer:</strong> <em>This article represents my personal investment journal and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is <strong>NOT</strong> financial or investment advice. I am a professional accountant sharing my own research, not your financial advisor. Always do your own homework before investing.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://solidman.co/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">SolidMan's Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[A 5-bagger that hedge funds can’t buy (but we can)]]></title><description><![CDATA[FMC Corp dropped 90% after its big patent expired. But with a $1B debt payoff and brand-new patented stuff coming out, getting back on track is just a matter of patience.]]></description><link>https://solidman.co/p/a-5-bagger-that-hedge-funds-cant</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://solidman.co/p/a-5-bagger-that-hedge-funds-cant</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[SolidMan Capital]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 30 Jul 2026 14:54:39 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vaar!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ef4344c-cb6e-46ac-9e84-900370804f17_1024x1024.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Let&#8217;s cut right to the chase.</p><p>Some companies aim to grow profits by maybe 10% a year. Others are literally fighting just to stay alive. If you want massive, life-changing money, you look at the second group&#8212;the ones that almost died, but survived, and where getting back to their glory days is just a matter of time.Among the stocks on my radar, I spotted a classic example: FMC Corp (NYSE: FMC). They are the 5th biggest agricultural sciences player globally (right behind giant names like Syngenta, Bayer, BASF, and Corteva). The stock got completely hammered&#8212;down over 90% from its peak of around $120+. But here&#8217;s the cool math: To give us a 5-bagger (5x return), it doesn&#8217;t even need to touch its historical peak again. Recovering just half of where it used to be is enough.Here&#8217;s why everybody dumped it, why it won&#8217;t go bankrupt, and why hedge funds can only watch from the sidelines while we eat the profits.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://solidman.co/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">SolidMan's Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>To see why this is a massive bargain, you first have to look at why this stock was left for dead in the first place.</p><p><strong>1. Why survival became a real nightmare</strong></p><p>FMC used to own a patented blockbuster insecticide. It had zero close competitors, and they just sat there making insane amounts of money. But then, the patents started expiring country by country.</p><p>The cash cow ran dry. Overall earnings went from solid profits into ugly losses. But the real killer wasn&#8217;t just the P&amp;L&#8212;it was the debt. They had huge high-interest loans hanging over their head, interest had to be paid every month, and cash flow (the absolute bloodline of any business) completely dried up. People panicked, thought they were going under, and the stock crashed 90%.</p><p><strong>2. Why bankruptcy is officially off the table</strong></p><p>A cash crunch kills a company before it can turn around. But just in the past quarter, FMC pulled off a masterclass move to save their own ass: <strong>they scrambled up $1 Billion to pay off their high-interest loans.</strong></p><p>How on earth did they get that $1 Billion?</p><ul><li><p>They sold off their lousy, low-margin business units.</p></li><li><p>They licensed out some non-exclusive rights.</p></li><li><p>They brought in a big external investor who literally pumped in fresh cash&#8212;<strong>at a share price HIGHER than today&#8217;s market price.</strong></p></li></ul><p>Think about how sweet that is: we get to buy the exact same company today at a lower price than a billionaire investor who just threw $400 million into it!</p><p><strong>3. Why returning to glory is just a matter of time</strong></p><p>Surviving is great, but how do they actually make money again?</p><p>FMC isn&#8217;t just relying on old expired stuff. Besides their legacy products that still sell really well because farmers around the world trust their brand name, <strong>they have a monster R&amp;D pipeline coming out.</strong></p><p>In fact, they already launched a brand-new patented product line&#8212;and one of them is the first of its kind in human history with zero substitutes! As these new patented products ramp up over the coming years, they will easily make up for the money lost from the old ones.</p><p>Now, you&#8217;re probably asking: <em>&#8220;If FMC is such a clear no-brainer, why aren&#8217;t all the smart-guy hedge funds on Wall Street buying it right now?&#8221;</em></p><p>Because Wall Street managers have a dirty little secret: <strong>They have zero patience.</strong></p><p>Ramping up newly patented agricultural products takes time&#8212;conservatively speaking, <strong>3 to 5 years</strong> to get global farmers to adopt them.</p><p>Hedge funds and big fund managers get judged on their performance EVERY SINGLE QUARTER. If a fund manager buys FMC today and the stock just sits there sideways for a year while waiting for sales to ramp up, their clients will throw a tantrum and withdraw their money.</p><p><strong>They physically CANNOT buy this potential 5-bagger, even if they KNOW it&#8217;s going back up, because they can&#8217;t afford to wait 3 to 5 years!</strong></p><p>Their stupidity is our opportunity. As independent value investors, we don&#8217;t have clients breathing down our necks. We can just buy, sit back, and wait.</p><p>Look, I know buying a stock that dropped 90% sounds terrifying. Nobody likes catching a falling knife.</p><p>But I&#8217;m not playing flip-a-coin day trading anymore. I like deals where the worst-case scenario is already taken care of by a clean balance sheet, and the best-case scenario is backed by real, patented products that farmers actually need to feed the world.</p><p>FMC isn&#8217;t some shady crypto coin or tech startup that might disappear tomorrow. It&#8217;s a solid, real-world business, and the worst of their money problems is officially behind them.</p><p>Now, all we need to do is sit on our hands and let time do the heavy lifting!</p><p>___________________________________________</p><p><strong>Disclosure:</strong> I hold a long position in FMC Corp at the time of writing. I run a highly concentrated portfolio, so when I like a business, I put my own money where my mouth is. However, I may buy, sell, or adjust my position at any time without prior notice.</p><p><strong>Disclaimer:</strong> This post represents my personal investment journal and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is <strong>NOT</strong> financial, investment, or legal advice. I am sharing my own research as a professional accountant, not acting as your financial advisor. Investing in stocks involves significant risk, including the loss of principal. Always do your own due diligence or talk to a licensed financial advisor before putting your hard-earned money to work.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://solidman.co/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">SolidMan's Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[First Post: I traded forex and day-traded stocks for 10 years. Here is why I quit and went all-in on value investing.]]></title><description><![CDATA[From getting wiped out by a black swan to paying thousands in fees&#8212;why value investing is the only way I sleep soundly at night.]]></description><link>https://solidman.co/p/first-post-i-traded-forex-and-day</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://solidman.co/p/first-post-i-traded-forex-and-day</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[SolidMan Capital]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 20 Jul 2026 15:02:46 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!vaar!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ef4344c-cb6e-46ac-9e84-900370804f17_1024x1024.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Let&#8217;s be honest. If you are here looking for hot stock tips, technical indicators, or macro predictions, you are in the wrong place.</p><p>I am a professional accountant, a history buff, and I&#8217;ve been burning my fingers in the stock and forex markets for over a decade. After trying almost every strategy out there, I finally stripped everything down to the essentials. <strong>My portfolio is highly concentrated. I own a maximum of 4 stocks at any single point in time. Period.</strong></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://solidman.co/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">SolidMan's Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>This Substack is just my public diary. I&#8217;m going to document exactly how I continue to snowball my wealth over the coming years. If you want to see how a professional accountant filters out the noise and makes high-conviction bets, welcome aboard.</p><p>Before settling on value investing, I spent years trying to beat the market through forex and stock day trading. I didn&#8217;t quit those markets because I lost interest; I quit because the math just didn&#8217;t make sense.</p><p>Here is exactly why I walked away:</p><ol><li><p><strong>Why I quit Forex (The Leverage Trap):</strong> Leverage sounds amazing until it acts against you just <em>once</em>. If it does, your entire portfolio is gone. That&#8217;s exactly what happened to me back in 2015 when the Swiss National Bank unexpectedly removed the CHF exchange rate floor. In a matter of minutes, a single black swan wiped me out completely. I realized I&#8217;m not playing a game where one unpredictable event can reset my life savings to zero.</p></li><li><p><strong>Why I quit Day Trading (The Asymmetric Loss):</strong> Day trading stocks drained my energy, and more importantly, my capital. Two things broke me:</p><ul><li><p><strong>The Fees:</strong> Transaction fees add up to a very material amount over time. When you calculate the drag, you realize you&#8217;re playing a rigged coin-flip. It&#8217;s a game where if it&#8217;s heads, you win <span>$1</span>, but if it&#8217;s tails, you lose <span>$2</span> after accounting for fees. The asymmetry is completely stacked against you.</p></li><li><p><strong>The Madness:</strong> Daily price moves are almost purely based on speculative buys and sells. It&#8217;s noise. I decided I am absolutely not going to bet my hard-earned money on how crazy people decide to behave on any given day.</p></li></ul></li></ol><p>So, why value investing? Because after looking at thousands of financial statements, I concluded this is the absolute safest way to build sustainable wealth.</p><p>I don&#8217;t use leverage, and I don&#8217;t count on how foolish other people are to make money. Instead, I look at stocks as real businesses. If I can buy an incredible business with a massive margin of safety&#8212;ideally trading way below its intrinsic value&#8212;I dont&#8217; give a shit what the broader market does tomorrow.</p><p>Running a 4-stock portfolio means I have to say &#8220;no&#8221; to almost everything. But when you find something truly asymmetric, you don&#8217;t diversify, you concentrate.</p><p>Look, I know how stressful investing can be. The anxiety of watching tickers all day, the fear of getting margin called, and the frustration of realizing your profits were eaten up by your broker&#8212;I&#8217;ve been there, and I&#8217;ve paid my tuition fees to the market.</p><p>I chose value investing not just for the returns, but for peace of mind. I want to build wealth safely and deliberately.</p><p>In this space, I am going to share my actual framework, my thought process, and even my mistakes. No filters, no institutional jargon. Just real numbers and real thinking.</p><p>My next post will be about how I actually screen thousands of global stocks down to a maximum of 4 high-conviction names.</p><p><strong>If you&#8217;re tired of the noise and want to see how the compounding journey actually works, hit subscribe.</strong></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://solidman.co/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">SolidMan's Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>